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The Twelve States That Will Decide Election 2008

Between now and Election Day, you will see both Barack Obama and John McCain campaigning almost exclusively in these twelve states. If you happen to live in any of these states, you should be preparing yourself for a media blitz that will surely make you dream of a quiet, remote vacation long before Election Day. Over the next several months, political pundits will refer to these dozen states as the battleground for the 2008 Presidential election.

A combination of recent polling, state voting demographics, and political history is a powerful formula that can be used to predict the likely outcome of thirty eight American states. In fact, if both candidates run a respectable and credible campaign, today’s polling results in these thirty eight states should not be much different than the actual results on Election Day.

The truth is that when reviewing the 2008 electoral map, Republican John McCain can now count on 174 safe electoral votes, while Democrat Barack Obama can feel comfortable winning 204. Therefore, it is the voting in only twelve states, representing 160 electoral votes, that will ultimately determine the outcome in this Presidential election. An outcome that requires the next President of the United States to obtain a minimum of 270 electoral votes on Election Day.

The twelve battleground states that will decide the 2008 Presidential election are; Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia. Let’s briefly look at these battleground states in the 2008 Presidential election.

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Florida has voted Republican with its 27 electoral votes in each of the last two Presidential elections. Of course, we remember how close the voting was in 2000 when a few thousand votes determined the outcome for Republican President, George W. Bush. Currently, the state has a popular Republican Governor in Charlie Crist, who is also a potential candidate for Vice President on the Republican ticket. Recent public opinion polls in Florida shows that Republican John McCain has a double digit lead over Democrat Barack Obama.

Missouri almost always cast its ballot for the candidate who wins the White House. In fact, with the exception of 1956, no candidate since 1904 ever has won a Presidential election without winning the state of Missouri. Current polls indicate a dead heat in the race to capture Missouri’s 11 electoral votes in Election 2008.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio’s 20 electoral votes. In fact, no candidate has won the Presidency without winning Ohio since 1960. Current polls show both political candidates in a statistical dead heat in the Buckeye state.

The states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, and New Mexico in total account for 28 electoral votes. Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a modest lead in recent polls in Colorado and New Mexico. Both these states voted Republican in the 2004 Presidential election. John McCain maintains a modest lead in Nevada while Barack Obama holds a lead in Iowa. If this recent trend continues, Nevada will vote for the same party as it did in 2004. However, a Democratic win in Iowa would be a change from the result in the Presidential election of four years ago.

Pennsylvania voted for the Democratic candidate in each of the last two Presidential elections. However, the final margin of victory was very small. Recent polls indicate another very close election in 2008 to win the state’s 21 electoral votes.

Michigan has cast its 17 Electoral College votes for the Democrats in each of the last four Presidential elections. However the margin of Democratic victory in 2004 was very slim. Recent polls indicate another very close race between Barack Obama and John McCain in 2008.

As far as the final three 2008 battleground states are concerned, Wisconsin’s 10 Electoral votes went Democratic by a very close margin in the last Presidential election. Recent polls show another very close vote is likely in 2008 as well. Both Virginia and North Carolina (total of 28 electoral votes) were found in the Republican column four years ago. John McCain holds very slim leads in both states in public opinion polls at the current time.

The party primaries are now over and the fall Presidential election campaign is about to begin. During the next several months, there will be televised debates, and the usual give and take of any Presidential campaign.

However, the truth is that in order to win on Election Day, each of the candidates have to work to deliver the right political message. It will need to be a message designed to win in America’s political battleground, the twelve swing states of Election 2008.

United States Presidential Election – 2008 – Basic Facts

The United States presidential election of 2008 will be held on November 4, 2008. It will be the 55th quadrennial election for president and vice president of the United States. Besides, 435 members of the U.S. House of Representatives and 34 members of the United States Senate will also be elected.

According to the United Sates Constitution, the 44th president of the United States will be the candidate who gets a minimum of 270 votes and wins majority. The candidate who will receive a majority of electoral votes will become the 47th president of the US.

The president elect will be selected by the House of Representatives in case none of the candidates gets a majority in the Electoral College. Similarly, if no one vice-presidential candidate wins majority, a vote of the Senate will finally decide who the vice president will be.

It is on the 2000 Census that the allocation of electoral votes to each state is based partially.

The candidates selected as the president and the vice-president will be inaugurated on January 20, 2009.

Since 1952, it will happen for the first time in 2008 that both the sitting president and the vice-president will not participate in the presidential race. The present vice president, Dick Cheney, had said, “I will say just as hard as I possibly know how to say… If nominated, I will not run; if elected, I will not serve.”

As far as the campaign costs are concerned, the statistics indicate that they have risen considerably in past few years. According to an estimate by the Federal Election Commission Chairman, Michael Toner, each candidate will have to raise funds of at least 0 million by the end of this year. The campaigning cost for the United States Presidential Election-2008 will be approximately billion.

United States Government Debt is Increasing Rapidly

United States government debt, also referred to as the national debt or United States total public debt, is the amount of money owed by United States federal government to holders of U.S. debt instruments.

The total Public debt includes state and federal debts which is owed to corporations, individuals and foreign governments. But, this debt excludes all social security debts and intra-governmental obligations.

Some of the federal securities held by the public include Bonds, Treasury Bills, United States Savings Bonds, Notes, TIPS and State and Local Government Series securities.

External debt includes debts which both the public and private sectors owe to foreign people and organizations. Foreign ownership of public debt is a substantial part of the total national debt.

When U.S. federal debt passed the trillion mark on 30th September 2008, public debt stood at .3 trillion.

Further debts included Social Security obligations, Medicare, Medicaid and others.

A division of United States Department of the Treasury, the Bureau of the Public Debt, calculates the amount of money owed by the government daily.

Budgeted and non-budgeted spending has pushed total debts upward by around 0 billion each year since 2003. The budget deficit fell from 8 billion in 2005 to 2 billion in 2007, but moved sharply up again to 5 billion in 2008.

There have been regular warnings from the U.S. Treasury Department, Office of Management and Budget (OMB), and the Government Accountability Office (GAO) that debt levels are sure to increase dramatically due to social programs like Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid and interest owed on outstanding debts.

There are estimates that benefits under entitlement programs could exceed government income by more than trillion in the next half century.

If the changes which they propose are not done, some experts claim that federal expenditures could surpass federal tax revenues by sizable margins in a shorter period than that.

Public debts have been a part of its existence since the United States of America came into being.

The first reported value of public debt was ,463,476.52 on January 1, 1791. This was a combination of debts that were incurred during the American Revolutionary War and the creation and implementation of the Articles of Confederation.

Debt continued to increase over the next half-century.

It was brought down to zero for a short period in early January, 1835.

After that, the debts just kept increasing.

The Civil War in America was responsible for a huge surge where debts rose from million in 1860 to more than billion in 1863.

The following year, it stood at .7 billion.

There were a few fluctuations during the rest of the century. But, strong economic growth was recorded through most of the period from 1800 to 1912.

Then, debts started increasing again. It was around billion during the 1920s, the World War I period.

History repeated itself and debts grew to an alarming 0 billion by the end of World War II from a figure around billion in 1940.

Public debt and inflation soared in tandem during the nineteen-eighties. The nineties saw the debts increase by about two hundred percent within a decade.

Better results were achieved towards the close of the century.

But, debts then started climbing quickly again.

Public debt stood at about .9 trillion at the end of 2005. This was about 8.7 times the level of public debt in 1980.

For the greater part of the last half-century, America had enforced a debt ceiling. The Treasury could issue as much debt as the government required as long as it was within the specified ceiling.

Over time, the United States Congress passed new laws which caused fairly regular increases in the level of the ceiling.

Congress increased the debt limit to .815 trillion in September 2007.

In July 2008, the ceiling was again raised to .6 trillion with the passing of new laws to accommodate the bailout of mortgage giants, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Congress used to approve legislation for each debt issuance. It was decided that this was no longer possible because of the growth of fiscal operations in the twentieth century.

As debt is spiraling out of control you can take action and survive, and create your own personal financial security.

Public debts are of two main types:

1. Marketable and Non-marketable securities held by the public

2. Securities held by government accounts

Public debt holders cover a huge group of people that owning bills, notes and bonds.

The U.S. Treasury regularly publishes data providing information about the holders.

The foreign and international holders of the debt are also put together from the notes, bills, and bonds sections.

More than half of the total national debt is owed to the Federal Reserve and intergovernmental holdings.

According to reported figures of the US government in September 2008, it has supported its obligations to bailout home mortgage companies of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae through the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.

The balance sheet obligations of these two companies are over trillion. The Government does not account for these obligations in its current balance sheet.

The U.S. Treasury contracted to receive US$ 1 billion dollars in senior preferred shares and a warrant for 79.9% of common shares from each of these Government Sponsored Enterprises or GSEs.

This was done to maintain adequate capital ratios in the enterprises and ensure essential solvency. This is, effectively, nationalization of the companies.

Some people claim that some of these US governmental actions place taxpayers’ funds at some risk. The effects of the takeovers may not be predictable immediately. The overall picture will probably only come into focus later.

At the time of the takeover, more than 98% of Fannie’s loans were being repaid in a timely manner.

Both these companies are claimed to have had a positive net worth where their assets were valued much higher than their liabilities.

The Congressional Budget Office has directed incorporation of the assets and liabilities of these two companies into the federal budget. This shows the extent of governmental control over these entities.

Presently, foreign governments are said to have about 25% holding of total US debt.

This figure was about 13% in 1988.

US Treasury statistics indicate foreigner organizations and individuals held 44% of federal debt held by the public in 2006. Two-thirds of this was held by central banks of countries like China and Japan.

Although there was a fall in such investments in 2007 due to the depreciating value of the US dollar at the time, but foreign investors continued investing in US-dollar–denominated instruments.

This exposure is claimed by some to pose a threat of some scale to the US economy.

If the foreign investors start selling Treasury securities or stop purchasing them, some people claim that it might cause significant losses.

It seems that such losses may be a very unlikely situation but the possible effects from such a theoretical situation becoming reality must be considered when decisions are being made.

Central banks of Sweden, Russia, Italy and the United Arab Emirates reduced their dollar holdings marginally in 2006.

Kuwait and Syria discontinued pegging their currency exclusively to the dollar in 2007.

These occurrences may not be pointers to what could happen in the future.

The United States Congress Now Have A Website To Deliver News To The People

Sixteen million Americans served in Entire world War II, and Congress considered it would value also substantially revenue to incorporate Filipino soldiers amongst individuals eligible for rewards of the G.I. Bill. Funds must not even have been a consideration. Nevertheless Congress has furnished minimal legislation admitting its dishonorable act, this shameful injustice is still in impact following just about 65 decades. Property of Representative Bill #491, the Equity Act of 2001 would have overturned the Recession Act of 1946 which denied Filipino soldiers the positive aspects acquired by all other People in america who served in the military forces in World War II.

 

Democrat and Republican reps alike, working for re-election in 2002, publicly introduced their assistance of this legislation. Definitely, public announcements of assistance by incumbents had been idle guarantees. American voters, which include escalating numbers of Filipino/Americans, have influenced minimal but inadequate congressional legislation that has occurred. Congress need to overturn the Recession Act, thus delivering nothing much less than entire restitution to Filipino veterans. What are some of the arguments versus overturning the Congressional Act of 1946, signed into law by President Harry Truman?

 

Initially, the Philippines was a colonial possession left through from the Spanish-American War of 1898. Secondly, Filipinos had been not American citizens as have been the soldiers from Pennsylvania, Virginia, Massachusetts or Kentucky. Let’s analyze the connection concerning the Philippines and the United States for the final 112-113 many years and have a appearance at these arguments. By federal law, the Philippines was a commonwealth of the United States. It came into legal existence as these for the reason that of the Tydings-McDuffie Bill, passed by the United States Congress and signed into law by President Franklin Roosevelt in 1934 which granted absolute and entire independence to the Philippines by 1944 (in fact 1946 because of to Japanese occupation), and it offered for an interim commonwealth supervised by the United States, with a Philippine president elected by nationwide vote, and a constitution. A constitution was adopted in February 1935, accredited by the United States President and ratified by a plebiscite of the Philippine individuals in May possibly 1935 with Manuel Quezon as President.

 

So what is a commonwealth? “A commonwealth is a entire body of people in a politically organized neighborhood that is independent or semi-impartial, and in which the authorities capabilities by the widespread consent of the people. United States and the person semi-independent states are so commonwealths, despite the fact that Pennsylvania, Virginia, Massachusetts and Kentucky have formally designated themselves as this sort of.” On July 26, 1941, President Roosevelt signed an purchase nationalizing the Armed Forces of the Philippines, and appointed Douglas MacArthur as Commanding Normal of the United States Armed Forces Way East. By United States law, the legal standing of the Philippines in advance of, throughout and following Earth War II was a commonwealth, and its citizens ended up, consequently, entitled to the similar benefits as citizens of all United States commonwealths.

 

A different argument is, Philippine independence took location on June twelve, 1898, when it declared itself cost-free of Spanish rule. This day was formally regarded by President John Kennedy in 1962. Could his action have taken area because of empathy for the Philippine people today, or was it a smoke display screen to offset mounting political heat for restitution of the injustice to Filipino veterans? Some say that the declaration of June 12, 1898 does not prevail more than real achievement of independence which occurred, in accordance to law, July 4, 1946.